# MI Sacrifice Prediction: Logit and LPM

| Variable | Z only | Z + controls | Age + controls | LPM (Z+ctrl) |
|:---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| Z_1 | 0.1054 | -0.4603 | | -0.3195 |
| | (0.2527) | (0.3799) | | (0.5237) |
| Z_2 | -0.0024 | 0.0532 | | 0.0389 |
| | (0.0392) | (0.0574) | | (0.0793) |
| Z_3 | -0.0001 | -0.0016 | | -0.0012 |
| | (0.0016) | (0.0024) | | (0.0033) |
| fiscal_bal_gdp | | 0.0015 | 0.0016 | -0.0018 |
| | | (0.0017) | (0.0017) | (0.0019) |
| nfa_gdp_lag | | 0.0062 | 0.0089 | -0.0064 |
| | | (0.0086) | (0.0085) | (0.0114) |
| rgdp_growth | | -0.0032* | -0.0029* | -0.0020 |
| | | (0.0016) | (0.0016) | (0.0013) |
| log_rel_opw | | 0.0586*** | 0.0563*** | 0.0711*** |
| | | (0.0132) | (0.0128) | (0.0193) |
| kaopen | | 0.0504*** | 0.0482*** | 0.0409*** |
| | | (0.0063) | (0.0063) | (0.0091) |
| old_dep | | | 0.8046*** | |
| | | | (0.1672) | |
| youth_dep | | | 0.1592** | |
| | | | (0.0634) | |
|:---|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| N | 7263 | 4101 | 4101 | 4101 |
| R² | 0.0135 | 0.0550 | 0.0564 | 0.0714 |
| Countries | 154 | 143 | 143 | 143 |

*Standard errors in parentheses. Logit columns report marginal effects at means.*
*\*p<0.1, \*\*p<0.05, \*\*\*p<0.01*